Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.041010e-05 2.484960e-05 0.000030 0.000035 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057
2025-07-27 1.502927e-05 2.077045e-05 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000073
2025-08-03 1.253988e-05 1.926244e-05 0.000028 0.000039 0.000053 0.000070 0.000092
2025-08-10 9.632327e-06 1.652512e-05 0.000026 0.000039 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105
2025-08-17 6.764596e-06 1.317329e-05 0.000023 0.000036 0.000055 0.000080 0.000112
2025-08-24 4.850411e-06 1.076070e-05 0.000020 0.000034 0.000055 0.000082 0.000120
2025-08-31 3.739523e-06 9.366318e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000057 0.000087 0.000130
2025-09-07 2.741933e-06 7.892948e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000057 0.000091 0.000138
2025-09-14 1.881787e-06 6.401183e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000056 0.000092 0.000144
2025-09-21 1.306369e-06 5.300564e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000056 0.000094 0.000150
2025-09-28 8.649841e-07 4.314994e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000055 0.000095 0.000156
2025-10-05 6.520087e-07 3.857507e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000057 0.000100 0.000166
2025-10-12 4.006738e-07 3.187398e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000059 0.000106 0.000180
2025-10-19 2.531161e-07 2.746944e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000197
2025-10-26 2.028576e-07 2.703044e-06 0.000011 0.000031 0.000069 0.000128 0.000223
2025-11-02 1.086233e-07 2.241155e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000071 0.000135 0.000239
2025-11-09 3.326327e-08 1.585743e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000069 0.000136 0.000246
2025-11-16 7.123549e-09 1.142135e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000068 0.000138 0.000255
2025-11-23 1.205964e-09 9.091668e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000070 0.000144 0.000269
2025-11-30 6.188067e-12 6.665097e-07 0.000006 0.000026 0.000070 0.000148 0.000280
2025-12-07 NaN 4.402147e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000069 0.000149 0.000288
2025-12-14 NaN 2.947734e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000068 0.000151 0.000297
2025-12-21 NaN 1.829355e-07 0.000004 0.000022 0.000067 0.000153 0.000305